China Export Ocean Freight Weekly — 2026-11-02
Regional averages (40HQ, USD)
| Region | Average | WoW | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| 北美 | 11,244 | -1.2% | 7,387 |
| 南美 | 6,983 | +2.2% | 5,448 |
| 欧洲 | 4,292 | -0.9% | 5,093 |
| 地中海 | 4,705 | +0% | 5,083 |
| 东南亚 | 1,485 | +5.6% | 2,886 |
| 中东 | 6,311 | +10.5% | 2,742 |
| 非洲 | 6,637 | +4.1% | 2,215 |
| 其他地区 | 6,201 | -3.8% | 550 |
| 澳新 | 5,948 | +0.4% | 323 |
Selected lane rates (40HQ, quoted range)
| Lane | Range | Median | Carriers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai → Santos | 3,500 – 9,402 | 5,200 | 14 |
| Shanghai → Puerto Quetzal | 5,900 – 9,792 | 7,730 | 15 |
| Shanghai → Paranagua | 3,500 – 8,717 | 5,200 | 13 |
| Shanghai → Buenos Aires | 4,020 – 10,026 | 5,300 | 13 |
| Shanghai → Lazaro Cardenas | 5,213 – 7,602 | 6,715 | 15 |
| Shenzhen → Rotterdam | 2,900 – 5,031 | 3,650 | 10 |
| Shanghai → San Antonio | 5,300 – 12,182 | 6,900 | 14 |
| Shanghai → Itapoa | 4,015 – 9,702 | 5,600 | 14 |
Note: high-low spreads on a given lane routinely exceed 30%, reflecting carrier, routing (direct vs transshipment), equipment and surcharge basis — not a data error.
Three things that matter
1. 中东 leads with +10.5%
The 中东 average reached USD 6,311 per 40HQ, up 10.5% WoW on a sample of 2,742 quotes. Space is tight and the move reflects capacity management more than a demand surge; locking rates early beats shopping around.
2. 北美 falls 1.2%
The 北美 average was USD 11,244, -1.2% WoW on 7,387 quotes. Abundant short-sea capacity and dense schedules mean rates fall fastest when volumes soften — a renegotiation window for exporters.
3. Everything else
南美: USD 6,983 (+2.2%); 欧洲: USD 4,292 (-0.9%); 地中海: USD 4,705 (+0%); 东南亚: USD 1,485 (+5.6%); 非洲: USD 6,637 (+4.1%).
Outlook
- Up (中东, 东南亚, 非洲): capacity discipline should keep rates firm; book 2–3 weeks ahead.
- Down (北美, 欧洲): further near-term downside is plausible; renegotiate.
- Overall: absent a policy shift from carriers, expect the all-lane average to hold in a narrow band into early November.
Data note
Figures are drawn from live, publicly listed FCL quotes on the Juhe Zhuang rate platform (jhz56.com): 31,752 quotes in total, 22,082 currently valid, spanning 632 ports. Regional averages are computed from daily snapshots (50 days of history). Quoted rates are forwarder and consolidator reference prices, not transaction rates; final pricing is subject to carrier confirmation at booking.